Searchable Publication List

China, Irregular Warfare Todd Helmus China, Irregular Warfare Todd Helmus

Understanding and Countering China’s Maritime Gray Zone Operations

This RAND report identifies four pathways for countering China's South China Sea gray zone operations—presence, transparency, partner capacity-building, and non-lethal weapons—and warns that a U.S. focus on potential kinetic war risks losing a gray zone conflict in which China secures effective sovereignty without firing a shot.

Read More

How the United States Can Support Allied and Partner Efforts to Counter China in the Gray Zone

This RAND report examines how Southeast and East Asian states respond to China's gray-zone coercion and recommends the U.S. reinforce regional will through security commitments and transparency support, build resilience through alternative investment, and expand military and coast guard capacity while reconsidering assumptions that direct confrontation inevitably escalates.

Read More

China’s Role in the Global Development of Critical Resources

This RAND study examined Chinese foreign investment in critical resources and energy infrastructure—coal power in Indonesia, Pakistan, and South Africa; transmission and distribution in several Latin American countries; and global seabed mining—looking for evidence of the behaviors most often alleged: predatory contracting, strategic positioning, disregard for environmental and labor standards, and market-influencing disinformation.

Read More

Investing in the Fight: Assessing the Use of the Commander’s Emergency Response Program in Afghanistan

This RAND report finds that CERP in Afghanistan was effective when nested within operations—especially for "softer" outcomes like rapport and local governance—and recommends restricting it to small-dollar projects, building unit-to-unit transition processes, training all relevant personnel, and formalizing a USAID role.

Read More