Searchable Publication List

China, Irregular Warfare Todd Helmus China, Irregular Warfare Todd Helmus

Understanding and Countering China’s Maritime Gray Zone Operations

This RAND report identifies four pathways for countering China's South China Sea gray zone operations—presence, transparency, partner capacity-building, and non-lethal weapons—and warns that a U.S. focus on potential kinetic war risks losing a gray zone conflict in which China secures effective sovereignty without firing a shot.

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Terrorism Todd Helmus Terrorism Todd Helmus

Development and Pilot Test of the RAND Program Evaluation Toolkit for Countering Violent Extremism

This RAND report introduces the Program Evaluation Toolkit for Countering Violent Extremism, built from a literature review, a program taxonomy, manager interviews, and pilot testing, to give community-based CVE programs the user-friendly checklists, worksheets, and templates needed to choose the most rigorous evaluation approach they can sustain and produce evidence on whether to improve, scale, or discontinue their activities.

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Terrorism, Survey Todd Helmus Terrorism, Survey Todd Helmus

Veteran Narratives of Support for Extremist Groups and Beliefs: Results from Interviews with Members of a Nationally Representative Survey of the U.S. Veteran Community

This RAND report draws on 2023 follow-up interviews with veterans who had endorsed extremist beliefs in a 2022 survey, finding that negative and traumatic experiences during service and transition are tightly interwoven with their paths into extremism—pointing to policy implications that will require further research to operationalize.

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Terrorism, United States Todd Helmus Terrorism, United States Todd Helmus

Violent Extremism in America: Interviews with Former Extremists and Their Families on Radicalization and Deradicalization

This RAND report draws on interviews with 32 former extremists and family members to map how people enter and exit extremist groups, finding that propaganda exposure is widespread, white supremacists typically self-recruit while Islamic extremists are more often pulled in top-down, and exits are usually supported by another person providing emotional, cultural, or material stability.

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Iraq, Terrorism Todd Helmus Iraq, Terrorism Todd Helmus

In the Wreckage of ISIS: An Examination of Challenges Confronting Detained and Displaced Populations in Northeastern Syria

This RAND report examines al-Hol and Roj camps in northeastern Syria, where ideologically mixed populations face radicalization risks from poor conditions, weak security, and external ISIS connections, and recommends legal-status processes, resourced judicial systems, repatriation pathways for vulnerable adolescents, an international donor fund, and greater integration with targeted isolation of the most radicalized residents.

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Terrorism, United States Todd Helmus Terrorism, United States Todd Helmus

What Prevention and Treatment of Substance Use Disorder Can Tell Us About Addressing Violent Extremism

This RAND Perspective draws on psychology, neuroscience, sociology, and public health evidence to argue that violent extremism shares meaningful features with substance addiction—persistent intrusive thoughts, situational triggers, and relapse risk—and uses that parallel to point toward new prevention and deradicalization approaches.

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Promoting Online Voices for Countering Violent Extremism

This RAND report—which has influenced U.S. National Counterterrorism Center policy—argues that American Muslim CVE efforts online succeed when government and private funders act as facilitators rather than orchestrators, and recommends reducing CVE's national security framing, addressing community mistrust, investing in influential social media voices, and expanding both private and government funding.

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Modern Political Warfare: Current Practices and Possible Responses

This RAND report draws on case studies of Russia, Iran, and ISIS to characterize modern political warfare and recommends reframing the U.S. response as integrated statecraft led by an enabled State Department, with deeper DoD–State integration, stronger MISO and intelligence capabilities, and persistent special operations presence in vulnerable regions.

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How the United States Can Support Allied and Partner Efforts to Counter China in the Gray Zone

This RAND report examines how Southeast and East Asian states respond to China's gray-zone coercion and recommends the U.S. reinforce regional will through security commitments and transparency support, build resilience through alternative investment, and expand military and coast guard capacity while reconsidering assumptions that direct confrontation inevitably escalates.

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